Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -185 TTU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +9 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -3.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -4.1 (+4.9) | 146.8 (+8.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -3.6 (+5.4) | 151.1 (+3.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -4.4 (+4.6) | 150.9 (+4.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -3.7 (+5.3) | 148.6 (+6.4) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TTU 78 – 75 ARIZ |
| Mar 15, 2025 | ARIZ 86 – 80 TTU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | TTU 70 – 54 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 20.4 (#8) | 19.6 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#24) | 2.86 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.54 (#24) | 3.94 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#26) | 0.601 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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