Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | OKST -125 ASU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +13 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | ASU -3.3 (+16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -1.8 (+14.8) | 142.6 (+16.4) | 49% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ASU -1.9 (+14.9) | 142.4 (+16.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ASU -1.7 (+14.7) | 140.7 (+18.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -1.8 (+14.8) | 140.7 (+18.3) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | ASU 85 – 76 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 4-16 |
| Home | 13-4 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#109) | 10.1 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#109) | 1.64 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#102) | 2.12 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#174) | 0.574 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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