Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | ASU -155 OKST +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +9 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | ASU -0.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -0.7 (+8.3) | 159.6 (+1.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ASU -2.4 (+6.6) | 159.8 (+1.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ASU -1.6 (+7.4) | 156.9 (+4.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -1.5 (+7.5) | 156.9 (+4.1) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2025 | OKST 86 – 73 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 15-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 83.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.3 | 83.2 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#80) | 9.6 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#65) | 2.37 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#71) | 2.96 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#73) | 0.572 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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