Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | STAN -270 NCSU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +1 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -5.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -6.4 (-5.4) | 139.4 (+7.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -6.8 (-5.8) | 137.8 (+9.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -7.2 (-6.2) | 137.1 (+9.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -6.8 (-5.8) | 138.8 (+8.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | STAN 85 – 84 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-15 |
| Home | 17-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#81) | 4.8 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#62) | -0.15 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#77) | 0.11 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#68) | 0.469 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.