Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–9 on winners spread MAE 10.3 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Georgia Tech @ Notre Dame +2.1 132.6 65% 55–58 ✓
Miami @ Clemson +6.6 145.6 77% 60–77 ✓
Tulsa @ South Florida +8.5 142.3 82% 50–69 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ High Point +11.8 151.9 85% 86–81 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Charleston Southern -3.2 139.6 38% 85–77 ✓
Chicago State @ Eastern Kentucky +6.8 141.4 76% 73–86 ✓
Xavier @ Seton Hall +1.9 142.3 61% 70–88 ✓
Holy Cross @ Colgate +17.2 137.1 89% 55–85 ✓
American University @ Navy -0.4 132.3 41% 59–42 ✓
Massachusetts @ Richmond +5.1 144.7 71% 69–59 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Fordham -4.4 140.6 32% 85–67 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lafayette +6.9 129.1 66% 79–64 ✗
VMI @ Furman +15.5 156.4 89% 62–75 ✓
Wofford @ Mercer +0.0 140.2 47% 73–60 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ The Citadel -1.9 140.3 40% 76–61 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga +7.0 140.9 79% 71–84 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Green Bay +3.8 140.5 68% 58–57 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Detroit Mercy +3.3 141.3 64% 66–81 ✓
Milwaukee @ Cleveland State +4.4 157.4 72% 71–68 ✗
Oakland @ Purdue Fort Wayne +1.1 150.8 51% 71–63 ✗
North Florida @ Queens University +1.0 158.9 55% 93–79 ✗
Jacksonville @ Kennesaw State +3.6 153.2 71% 61–66 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Belmont +0.4 147.9 50% 68–82 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso -6.2 140.5 27% 86–67 ✓
Missouri State @ Murray State +2.8 138.6 64% 72–82 ✓
UIC @ Bradley +11.1 140.4 85% 73–85 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Loyola Chicago +3.2 146.7 69% 59–64 ✓
South Carolina @ Auburn +10.2 140.1 85% 61–101 ✓
Iowa @ Maryland +2.0 143.7 61% 66–78 ✓
UConn @ DePaul -20.2 144.7 11% 101–65 ✓
Tennessee @ Arkansas -9.6 149.3 21% 92–63 ✓
Oregon State @ Arizona State +5.5 137.6 68% 61–79 ✓
Western Carolina @ Samford +8.4 155.7 79% 62–88 ✓
Utah State @ Wyoming -8.5 147.2 24% 84–76 ✓
UNLV @ Fresno State -3.6 140.9 37% 67–65 ✓
UMBC @ Binghamton +4.6 152.7 64% 89–78 ✗
Hampton @ Stony Brook +11.5 145.3 87% 73–93 ✓
Northwestern @ Rutgers +0.7 132.5 51% 60–63 ✓
Marshall @ App State +11.8 148.9 86% 58–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.