Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | EKU -600 CHST +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +13 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -7.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -7.1 (+5.9) | 141.1 (+17.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -6.8 (+6.2) | 141.4 (+17.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -6.7 (+6.3) | 140.5 (+18.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -9.6 (+3.4) | 138.4 (+20.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2024 | EKU 86 – 66 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| Home | 13-4 | 6-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#222) | -7.4 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#199) | -1.03 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#215) | -1.67 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#190) | 0.453 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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