Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | CHST +260 EKU -325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +20 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -14.3 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -7.2 (-12.8) | 144.4 (+7.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -7.2 (-12.8) | 143.6 (+8.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -7.3 (-12.7) | 142.6 (+9.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -10.5 (-9.5) | 140.2 (+11.8) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2024 | EKU 86 – 73 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 3-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 1-19 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -17.1 (#360) | 4.1 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#343) | 0.75 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.77 (#343) | 0.95 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#262) | 0.459 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 31.8% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.49 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 36.8% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 11.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 48.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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