Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–11 on winners spread MAE 8.8 44 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Iona @ Fairfield -8.9 137.5 23% 52–67 ✗
Illinois State @ Ball State +4.6 148.4 73% 66–82 ✓
Marist @ Canisius +4.7 142.8 66% 56–52 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Louisiana +1.9 151.6 58% 56–61 ✓
Samford @ Georgia +8.1 154.7 79% 75–79 ✓
Indiana State @ Purdue — — — 68–80 —
Illinois @ Missouri +3.5 147.2 72% 78–81 ✓
Niagara @ Saint Peter's +11.0 131.8 86% 49–53 ✓
Belmont @ Lipscomb +1.7 148.5 57% 81–71 ✗
Clemson @ Alabama -4.2 134.5 35% 64–56 ✓
Oregon @ Washington -5.7 135.9 31% 74–71 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Arkansas +25.8 152.0 91% 75–100 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Pepperdine +8.7 153.5 76% 89–84 ✗
South Dakota @ South Dakota State +8.7 145.0 72% 91–78 ✗
Oakland @ Michigan State +20.9 149.3 91% 91–109 ✓
Wright State @ Bowling Green +6.9 150.4 71% 85–67 ✗
Massachusetts @ Northeastern -0.8 155.9 63% 75–78 ✗
North Alabama @ Indiana +24.3 135.8 89% 52–87 ✓
Rhode Island @ Western Kentucky +1.5 149.6 58% 65–68 ✓
Richmond @ West Virginia +11.9 145.7 83% 71–87 ✓
High Point @ UNC Asheville +3.1 147.0 63% 84–90 ✓
Youngstown State @ Binghamton — — — 79–65 —
Hampton @ VMI +5.4 145.0 74% 64–79 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Iowa +33.6 155.1 91% 53–106 ✓
Norfolk State @ UNC Greensboro +1.7 142.9 60% 47–64 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ UIC +4.6 133.1 53% 77–66 ✗
Air Force @ Drake +13.8 131.2 86% 53–81 ✓
Milwaukee @ Western Michigan +1.5 134.4 40% 71–63 ✗
Penn State @ Michigan +3.3 154.9 66% 58–62 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Kent State +12.7 142.1 85% 73–92 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Vanderbilt +32.8 153.8 91% 41–84 ✓
Jacksonville @ South Carolina State -4.2 139.8 21% 60–58 ✓
Ohio @ Marshall +3.5 146.4 66% 67–81 ✓
Winthrop @ South Carolina Upstate -11.5 156.1 17% 107–77 ✓
New Mexico @ Rice — — — 72–61 —
San Francisco @ California -8.1 132.8 25% 70–72 ✗
UMBC @ Coppin State -6.6 145.6 30% 66–49 ✓
Cleveland State @ Ohio State +27.6 143.6 91% 61–67 ✓
Arizona State @ Grand Canyon +4.8 151.5 69% 71–70 ✗
Weber State @ Boise State — — — 59–70 —
San José State @ Cal Poly +2.1 151.7 67% 71–73 ✓
Portland State @ Washington State +9.1 130.8 73% 60–69 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Tennessee Tech -2.2 132.2 33% 73–67 ✓
Mercer @ Georgia Southern -7.7 134.7 21% 77–75 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.