Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | KENT -260 NKU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +19 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -17.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -12.4 (+6.6) | 139.6 (+25.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -10.5 (+8.5) | 140.1 (+24.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -13.2 (+5.8) | 142.7 (+22.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -12.7 (+6.3) | 142.1 (+22.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | KENT 79 – 57 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-8 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#31) | -0.4 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#104) | 0.48 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#99) | 0.29 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#123) | 0.565 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 16.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 39.3% |
| FT Rate | 12.2% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 82.1% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.1% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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