Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | MSU -10000 OAK +2900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +18 | 200 | Won |
| Massey | MSU -24.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+52.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSU -17.5 (+0.5) | 148.5 (+51.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSU -16.6 (+1.4) | 153.4 (+46.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSU -20.8 (-2.8) | 150.7 (+49.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -20.9 (-2.9) | 149.3 (+50.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | MSU 79 – 70 OAK |
| Dec 18, 2024 | MSU 77 – 58 OAK |
| Dec 19, 2023 | MSU 79 – 62 OAK |
| Dec 21, 2022 | MSU 67 – 54 OAK |
| Dec 22, 2021 | MSU 90 – 78 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 5-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#88) | -13.6 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#30) | -2.17 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.94 (#42) | -3.60 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#76) | 0.485 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 31.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 41.4 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 38.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 62.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 13.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.