Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.0 Over |
| Money | DRKE -800 AF +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +28 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -16.1 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -14.0 (+14.0) | 133.0 (+1.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -12.7 (+15.3) | 127.0 (+7.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -17.5 (+10.5) | 129.3 (+4.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -13.8 (+14.2) | 131.2 (+2.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | AF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-5 | 5-20 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 3-17 |
| Home | 14-1 | 3-8 |
| Away | 9-2 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 58.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#75) | -4.5 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#72) | 0.44 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#88) | 0.05 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#144) | 0.528 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | AF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 3.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 25.3% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 14.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 42.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.