Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | TNTC +145 JXST -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +6 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | JXST -0.3 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.4 (+17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -1.6 (-4.4) | 132.4 (+7.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -2.9 (-3.1) | 136.5 (+3.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -2.1 (-3.9) | 134.1 (+5.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -2.2 (-3.8) | 132.2 (+7.8) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2020 | JXST 74 – 50 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-22 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 13-6 |
| Home | 5-6 | 8-3 |
| Away | 0-16 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#240) | 1.7 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#245) | 1.02 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#230) | 1.06 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#165) | 0.556 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 25.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 42.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 26.3% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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