Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -330 TNTC +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +24 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -12.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -8.2 (+15.8) | 134.4 (-10.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -9.4 (+14.6) | 134.3 (-10.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -9.8 (+14.2) | 134.2 (-10.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -8.6 (+15.4) | 133.8 (-9.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2020 | JXST 73 – 67 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 5-22 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 5-15 |
| Home | 8-3 | 5-6 |
| Away | 7-5 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#134) | -6.1 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#101) | -2.12 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#136) | -3.07 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#124) | 0.448 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 26.6% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 25.2% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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