Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -33.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +43 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -35.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.9 (-41.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -22.9 (+20.1) | 155.5 (-30.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -32.8 (+10.2) | 153.8 (-28.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -33.4 (+9.6) | 152.2 (-27.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2021 | VAN 75 – 36 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 2-22 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 2-13 |
| Home | 6-7 | 1-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 56.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 87.4 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#137) | -28.6 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#125) | -1.91 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#134) | -2.92 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#164) | 0.402 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 34.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 24.7% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 15.7% |
| FT Rate | 40.4% | 6.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 62.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 58.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 6.1% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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