Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -37.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +39 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -31.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-31.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -25.6 (+13.4) | 142.5 (-31.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -23.3 (+15.7) | 143.7 (-32.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -28.8 (+10.2) | 141.0 (-30.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -31.1 (+7.9) | 141.9 (-30.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2020 | VAN 84 – 41 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 2-26 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 2-16 |
| Home | 11-8 | 0-11 |
| Away | 5-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 83.0 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#65) | -19.0 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#130) | -1.42 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#128) | -2.36 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#127) | 0.437 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 33.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 38.5% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 65.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.5% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 58.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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