Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | WASH +310 ORE -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -5.2 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -3.9 (+0.9) | 133.0 (+12.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -6.3 (+3.3) | 133.9 (+11.1) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -5.3 (+2.3) | 134.3 (+10.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -5.7 (+2.7) | 135.9 (+9.1) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ORE 85 – 79 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2026 | WASH 72 – 57 ORE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | ORE 80 – 73 WASH |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ORE 82 – 71 WASH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ORE 85 – 80 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-21 | 21-7 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 14-4 |
| Home | 4-7 | 11-2 |
| Away | 1-9 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 66.0 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#176) | 10.2 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#179) | 2.00 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#164) | 4.07 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#171) | 0.560 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.9% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 24.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.6% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.0% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 63.1% | 79.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.2% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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