Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | MICH -280 PSU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +4 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -2.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.4 (-42.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -3.5 (+0.5) | 155.9 (-35.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -2.5 (+1.5) | 151.8 (-31.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -2.1 (+1.9) | 157.1 (-37.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -3.3 (+0.7) | 154.9 (-34.9) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | MICH 110 – 69 PSU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | MICH 74 – 72 PSU |
| Jan 27, 2025 | MICH 76 – 72 PSU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | PSU 66 – 57 MICH |
| Jan 7, 2024 | PSU 79 – 73 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-5 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 7-12 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-2 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#63) | 10.9 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#18) | 1.93 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.09 (#18) | 3.81 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.742 (#6) | 0.675 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 41.8 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.2% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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