South Dakota State
Jackrabbits
78
–
91
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Dakota Showcase
South Dakota
Coyotes
Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | SDST -900 SDAK +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +13 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | SDST -12.6 (-25.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -8.7 (-21.7) | 145.4 (+23.6) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -8.0 (-21.0) | 144.3 (+24.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -8.8 (-21.8) | 146.8 (+22.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -8.7 (-21.7) | 145.0 (+24.0) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | SDAK 75 – 70 SDST |
| Feb 7, 2026 | SDAK 68 – 67 SDST |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SDST 94 – 91 SDAK |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SDST 90 – 71 SDAK |
| Feb 4, 2024 | SDST 70 – 67 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-7 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 9-3 | 11-4 |
| Home | 8-1 | 7-2 |
| Away | 4-2 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#72) | -6.7 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#59) | -3.60 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#98) | -5.39 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#56) | 0.313 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.8% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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