Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
| Money | WMU -155 MILW +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +8 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | WMU -2.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -2.0 (-10.0) | 136.2 (-2.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -0.3 (-8.3) | 133.3 (+0.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -1.5 (-9.5) | 134.4 (-0.4) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-16 | 10-12 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 7-10 |
| Home | 2-9 | 4-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#252) | -2.8 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.20 (#305) | -2.44 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.15 (#308) | -3.32 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.306 (#300) | 0.219 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 43.5% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 13.3% | 39.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 64.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.5% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 79.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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