Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | WVU -350 RICH +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +16 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -12.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -11.2 (+4.8) | 146.0 (+12.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -10.6 (+5.4) | 150.7 (+7.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -11.4 (+4.6) | 149.6 (+8.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -11.9 (+4.1) | 145.7 (+12.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-10 | 14-9 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 6-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-4 |
| Away | 7-2 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#24) | 5.3 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.26 (#7) | 1.47 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.22 (#6) | 2.25 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.719 (#11) | 0.466 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 16.5 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 40.9% | 19.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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