Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | FAIR +260 IONA -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +15 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -11.7 (+26.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -10.3 (+25.3) | 135.7 (-16.7) | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -11.1 (+26.1) | 132.0 (-13.0) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -10.8 (+25.8) | 138.7 (-19.7) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -8.9 (+23.9) | 137.5 (-18.5) | 23% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | FAIR 71 – 70 IONA |
| Feb 2, 2025 | IONA 87 – 64 FAIR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | FAIR 68 – 64 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | FAIR 68 – 63 IONA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | IONA 91 – 82 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-17 | 12-6 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-3 |
| Home | 4-8 | 4-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -16.2 (#306) | 1.6 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.23 (#306) | -0.31 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.99 (#307) | -0.92 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.264 (#305) | 0.416 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.1% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 25.9% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.41 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 34.4% |
Game Analysis
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