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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–3 on winners
spread MAE 11.6
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. John's
@
Georgetown
|
+1.5 | 150.6 | 60% | 94–97 | ✓ |
Sam Houston
@
LSU
|
+33.9 | 154.4 | 91% | 66–88 | ✓ |
Rutgers
@
Maryland
|
+8.9 | 145.4 | 75% | 74–60 | ✗ |
Eastern Kentucky
@
Morehead State
|
-6.6 | 142.9 | 28% | 62–75 | ✗ |
Longwood
@
Radford
|
-1.4 | 131.1 | 50% | 66–67 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.