Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +14 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | MD -13.2 (-27.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -10.1 (-24.1) | 146.0 (-12.0) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -6.9 (-20.9) | 142.1 (-8.1) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -10.2 (-24.2) | 145.2 (-11.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MD -8.9 (-22.9) | 145.4 (-11.4) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | RUTG 69 – 65 MD |
| Feb 15, 2026 | RUTG 68 – 57 MD |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MD 90 – 81 RUTG |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MD 65 – 51 RUTG |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MD 63 – 46 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 15.4 (#9) | 8.2 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#19) | 2.26 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.56 (#14) | 4.22 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.743 (#6) | 0.707 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.9% | 52.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.8% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 44.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.6% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.7% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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