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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–5 on winners
spread MAE 10.0
15 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
William & Mary
@
George Washington
|
+3.7 | 153.9 | 54% | 85–84 | ✗ |
Northern Arizona
@
Colorado State
|
— | — | — | 52–91 | — |
Central Arkansas
@
Ole Miss
|
+17.2 | 143.8 | 88% | 54–68 | ✓ |
Marquette
@
Creighton
|
+8.8 | 144.7 | 79% | 89–84 | ✗ |
Nevada
@
San Diego
|
-1.2 | 137.0 | 28% | 79–72 | ✓ |
Northern Colorado
@
Colorado
|
— | — | — | 45–81 | — |
St. Bonaventure
@
Akron
|
— | — | — | 81–74 | — |
Houston Christian
@
Rice
|
+22.8 | 142.3 | 90% | 79–90 | ✓ |
Chicago State
@
Illinois State
|
+18.8 | 143.8 | 91% | 62–91 | ✓ |
Stanford
@
Cal State Northridge
|
-0.1 | 141.9 | 47% | 82–71 | ✓ |
St. Francis Brooklyn
@
Central Connecticut
|
+0.7 | 158.7 | 52% | 91–86 | ✗ |
Buffalo
@
Miami (OH)
|
+2.2 | 140.2 | 62% | 90–62 | ✗ |
Longwood
@
Radford
|
-1.0 | 130.5 | 53% | 53–62 | ✗ |
Coastal Carolina
@
Wofford
|
+2.7 | 137.0 | 70% | 77–88 | ✓ |
Clemson
@
Virginia Tech
|
+0.1 | 127.1 | 55% | 60–66 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.