Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
| Money | VT -135 CLEM +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +6 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -2.8 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -0.6 (+6.6) | 126.0 (-0.0) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -0.5 (+6.5) | 126.4 (-0.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -0.7 (+5.3) | 127.6 (-1.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -0.1 (+5.9) | 127.1 (-1.1) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | VT 76 – 66 CLEM |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CLEM 65 – 47 VT |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CLEM 72 – 57 VT |
| Jan 11, 2024 | VT 87 – 72 CLEM |
| Jan 21, 2023 | CLEM 51 – 50 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-7 | 16-8 |
| Conference | 9-4 | 10-6 |
| Home | 10-2 | 11-1 |
| Away | 3-3 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 61.9 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#84) | 13.6 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#41) | 3.11 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#53) | 4.78 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.637 (#34) | 0.691 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 39.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 27.8% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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