Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN +1200 STAN -2250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +11 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -3.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -1.7 (-9.3) | 141.8 (+11.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -0.6 (-10.4) | 141.8 (+11.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -0.1 (-10.9) | 141.9 (+11.1) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -0.7 (-10.3) | 146.8 (+6.2) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 28, 2025 | STAN 88 – 80 CSUN |
| Mar 19, 2025 | STAN 87 – 70 CSUN |
| Nov 7, 2023 | STAN 88 – 79 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 4-7 | 5-4 |
| Away | 4-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#117) | 11.4 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#82) | 0.83 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#98) | 1.81 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#121) | 0.542 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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