Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | STAN -340 CSUN +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +17 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -6.1 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -6.5 (+10.5) | 145.5 (+11.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -5.9 (+11.1) | 147.0 (+10.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -5.8 (+11.2) | 147.5 (+9.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -6.1 (+10.9) | 147.0 (+10.0) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 28, 2025 | STAN 88 – 80 CSUN |
| Nov 7, 2023 | STAN 88 – 79 CSUN |
| Dec 15, 2020 | STAN 82 – 71 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 17-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#85) | 3.9 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#75) | 0.92 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#83) | 0.95 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#83) | 0.515 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 34.6% |
Game Analysis
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