Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | STAN -1600 CSUN +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +8 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -15.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -13.5 (-5.5) | 157.1 (+10.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -13.7 (-5.7) | 157.9 (+10.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -13.9 (-5.9) | 157.7 (+10.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -13.9 (-5.9) | 159.8 (+8.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 19, 2025 | STAN 87 – 70 CSUN |
| Nov 7, 2023 | STAN 88 – 79 CSUN |
| Dec 15, 2020 | STAN 82 – 71 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 81.3 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#82) | -4.1 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#53) | 0.11 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#50) | -0.20 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#54) | 0.491 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.5% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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