Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -400 MARQ +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +5 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -13.1 (-18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -10.2 (-15.2) | 144.2 (+28.8) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -7.0 (-12.0) | 149.2 (+23.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -9.7 (-14.7) | 149.8 (+23.2) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -8.8 (-13.8) | 144.7 (+28.3) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MARQ 86 – 62 CREI |
| Dec 21, 2025 | CREI 84 – 63 MARQ |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CREI 77 – 67 MARQ |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MARQ 79 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CREI 89 – 75 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 13-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#25) | 4.7 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#96) | 0.64 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#84) | 0.99 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#94) | 0.542 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 41.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.96 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.1% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 19.4% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 33.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 40.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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