Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | OSU -7000 CLE +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +6 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -28.8 (-22.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -22.3 (-16.3) | 143.2 (-15.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -21.9 (-15.9) | 141.2 (-13.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -28.0 (-22.0) | 143.2 (-15.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -27.6 (-21.6) | 143.6 (-15.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 19-8 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 16-4 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#34) | -11.8 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.86 (#13) | -1.14 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.97 (#21) | -1.85 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#42) | 0.365 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 32.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 21.3% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 36.7% |
| TOV% | 12.5% | 24.9% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 35.5% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 37.3% |
Game Analysis
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