Betting Lines
| Spread | CAN -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | CAN -210 MRST +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +4 | 108 | Lost |
| Massey | CAN -7.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-39.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -4.7 (-8.7) | 142.8 (-34.8) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -4.9 (-8.9) | 144.3 (-36.3) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MRST 88 – 86 CAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MRST 89 – 81 CAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MRST 70 – 47 CAN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MRST 78 – 55 CAN |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MRST 80 – 71 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-6 | 12-9 |
| Conference | 7-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 3-1 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 63.6 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#124) | 0.4 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#73) | 0.72 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#69) | 0.82 (#120) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 27.0 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 4.0 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 2.25 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 11.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 13.8% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 13.8% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 78.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 14.2% |
Game Analysis
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