Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
← All models

Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
29–13 on winners spread MAE 6.3 42 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UNC Asheville @ High Point +8.4 153.1 78% 100–104 ✓
NC State @ Stanford +6.8 137.8 76% 73–74 ✓
Vermont @ UAlbany +2.3 130.8 60% 68–62 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Lamar +4.7 144.1 74% 68–70 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Wright State +9.9 152.0 83% 73–91 ✓
Green Bay @ Purdue Fort Wayne +14.8 154.5 88% 74–89 ✓
Bellarmine @ Jacksonville +12.8 146.4 87% 64–73 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Long Beach State -11.1 149.7 17% 81–80 ✓
San Diego @ Santa Clara +22.7 152.2 91% 70–93 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Fairfield -2.4 148.5 38% 77–71 ✓
Iona @ Marist +4.9 130.4 65% 75–71 ✗
East Carolina @ UTSA +0.9 148.5 57% 80–79 ✗
Bradley @ Evansville -6.4 137.2 28% 80–74 ✓
Montana @ Northern Arizona -0.2 146.9 44% 83–80 ✓
Montana State @ Northern Colorado +5.9 147.2 74% 66–73 ✓
Gonzaga @ Pacific -20.9 150.1 12% 78–61 ✓
UT Arlington @ Seattle U +6.6 144.8 79% 65–67 ✓
Grand Canyon @ California Baptist -1.6 145.1 49% 71–85 ✗
South Dakota @ Oral Roberts -1.1 162.1 49% 75–74 ✓
Alabama @ Arkansas -3.9 160.5 37% 85–81 ✓
Ole Miss @ LSU -3.3 147.1 32% 72–70 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Southern Utah +0.5 135.9 50% 84–70 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Southern Indiana -3.0 143.8 36% 79–74 ✓
Idaho State @ Weber State -2.4 141.9 37% 72–67 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton -4.0 134.3 32% 65–49 ✓
San Francisco @ Loyola Marymount -1.8 138.2 47% 72–66 ✓
UTEP @ New Mexico State +0.8 136.4 52% 66–63 ✗
San Diego State @ Colorado State +1.4 135.6 59% 63–68 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Irvine +2.2 143.5 61% 85–67 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Riverside +7.6 146.4 80% 64–69 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Santa Barbara +5.2 136.0 73% 72–76 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Oregon State -1.3 133.4 41% 63–49 ✓
Texas Tech @ Arizona +3.7 148.6 73% 73–82 ✓
Northwestern @ Washington -1.5 142.2 44% 71–76 ✗
Rutgers @ Maryland +12.2 152.0 87% 81–90 ✓
George Washington @ St. Bonaventure +5.4 132.6 72% 62–52 ✗
Xavier @ Villanova +1.9 140.9 63% 68–80 ✓
Temple @ Memphis +12.8 158.5 87% 82–90 ✓
Arizona State @ Oklahoma State -1.8 142.6 49% 73–86 ✗
Wichita State @ South Florida +0.3 147.6 50% 75–70 ✗
Massachusetts @ La Salle +0.6 153.1 58% 78–55 ✗
Ohio State @ Nebraska -0.8 148.1 55% 71–79 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.