Anger is an energy. "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–11 on winners spread MAE 10.3 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Georgia Tech @ Notre Dame +2.7 132.5 60% 55–58 ✓
Miami @ Clemson +7.5 153.8 75% 60–77 ✓
Tulsa @ South Florida +8.9 147.1 79% 50–69 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ High Point +14.3 154.7 90% 86–81 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Charleston Southern -4.4 140.9 34% 85–77 ✓
Chicago State @ Eastern Kentucky +8.5 139.5 78% 73–86 ✓
Xavier @ Seton Hall +0.2 144.6 51% 70–88 ✓
Holy Cross @ Colgate +19.1 137.8 96% 55–85 ✓
American University @ Navy +0.1 134.5 51% 59–42 ✗
Massachusetts @ Richmond +5.0 145.0 68% 69–59 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Fordham -6.2 144.1 29% 85–67 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lafayette +9.2 126.4 80% 79–64 ✗
VMI @ Furman +22.0 163.4 98% 62–75 ✓
Wofford @ Mercer +1.4 143.4 55% 73–60 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ The Citadel -1.1 136.3 46% 76–61 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga +8.1 140.4 77% 71–84 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Green Bay +4.0 138.0 64% 58–57 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Detroit Mercy +5.8 140.5 70% 66–81 ✓
Milwaukee @ Cleveland State +6.5 159.9 72% 71–68 ✗
Oakland @ Purdue Fort Wayne +1.8 153.6 56% 71–63 ✗
North Florida @ Queens University +1.8 163.8 57% 93–79 ✗
Jacksonville @ Kennesaw State +6.5 161.7 72% 61–66 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Belmont -1.0 149.8 46% 68–82 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso -5.7 139.5 30% 86–67 ✓
Missouri State @ Murray State +4.5 138.4 66% 72–82 ✓
UIC @ Bradley +12.9 139.3 88% 73–85 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Loyola Chicago +2.2 145.6 58% 59–64 ✓
South Carolina @ Auburn +11.3 138.9 85% 61–101 ✓
Iowa @ Maryland +2.5 147.3 59% 66–78 ✓
UConn @ DePaul -23.3 141.6 2% 101–65 ✓
Tennessee @ Arkansas -12.3 149.8 13% 92–63 ✓
Oregon State @ Arizona State +6.9 136.9 74% 61–79 ✓
Western Carolina @ Samford +7.5 159.5 75% 62–88 ✓
Utah State @ Wyoming -10.1 151.6 18% 84–76 ✓
UNLV @ Fresno State -4.8 142.7 33% 67–65 ✓
UMBC @ Binghamton +5.3 161.4 68% 89–78 ✗
Hampton @ Stony Brook +15.9 150.0 93% 73–93 ✓
Northwestern @ Rutgers +0.4 131.1 51% 60–63 ✓
Marshall @ App State +13.5 145.8 89% 58–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.