And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–6 on winners spread MAE 8.6 28 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina @ Syracuse -9.0 153.0 21% 79–86 ✗
Iowa State @ Cincinnati -2.5 141.0 41% 68–59 ✓
Michigan @ Illinois +15.1 160.5 92% 68–97 ✓
Duquesne @ Dayton +11.3 134.4 85% 59–75 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Virginia +4.1 119.4 65% 74–63 ✗
Illinois State @ Indiana State +19.1 142.7 96% 80–67 ✗
St. John's @ Providence +1.1 143.1 54% 72–75 ✓
Texas A&M @ Vanderbilt -10.6 135.0 17% 73–74 ✗
George Washington @ George Mason +11.0 151.9 84% 67–90 ✓
La Salle @ Davidson +10.3 143.5 83% 56–71 ✓
Drake @ Evansville -9.2 149.0 20% 78–75 ✓
LSU @ Florida +10.3 167.2 82% 80–82 ✓
Buffalo @ Northern Illinois +11.0 152.2 84% 68–72 ✓
Georgetown @ Creighton +20.5 153.6 97% 72–94 ✓
Tennessee State @ Tennessee Tech -4.2 139.3 35% 50–70 ✗
Oklahoma @ Baylor +6.8 150.2 73% 62–79 ✓
UCF @ BYU +13.6 141.8 89% 88–90 ✓
Ohio State @ Wisconsin +8.2 143.4 77% 54–62 ✓
Ole Miss @ Kentucky +8.7 168.1 78% 63–75 ✓
Louisville @ Boston College +10.7 154.3 83% 77–89 ✓
Florida State @ Virginia Tech +5.9 148.7 70% 75–83 ✓
Colorado State @ San Diego State +4.2 142.7 65% 55–71 ✓
Air Force @ San José State +3.8 136.5 64% 66–73 ✓
New Mexico @ Nevada +0.1 152.0 51% 83–82 ✗
Boston University @ Army +0.1 119.5 51% 50–65 ✓
Presbyterian @ UNC Asheville +11.2 151.2 85% 69–71 ✓
Michigan State @ Penn State -5.4 144.6 31% 80–72 ✓
Robert Morris @ Youngstown State +12.8 153.3 88% 77–87 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.