Anger is an energy. "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
Horizon League · Beeghly Center · February 14, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread YSU -10.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Over
Money YSU -600 / RMU +400
Model Predictions
Spread Total YSU win
Actual YSU +10 164 Won
Massey YSU -12.8 (-2.8)
Massey Totals 153.0 (+11.0)
Bradley-Terry 91%
Weighted B-T 96%
Efficiency Plus ML YSU -11.3 (-1.3) 150.6 (+13.4) 86%
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -10.7 (-0.7) 150.7 (+13.3) 87%
Baseline ML YSU -11.0 (-1.0) 152.6 (+11.4) 86%
Baseline Plus ML YSU -11.5 (-1.5) 151.5 (+12.5) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 RMU 6853 YSU
Feb 7, 2026 RMU 7266 YSU
Dec 18, 2025 RMU 8077 YSU
Mar 11, 2025 RMU 8978 YSU
Jan 22, 2025 RMU 7270 YSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings YSU RMU
Overall 22-10 10-22
Conference 14-6 6-14
Home 14-3 7-9
Away 8-7 3-13
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L7
Avg Pts For 78.4 72.2
Avg Pts Against 72.4 77.4
Massey 4.0 (#112) -5.4 (#269)
Bradley-Terry 0.23 (#154) -1.49 (#306)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.47 (#140) -1.91 (#315)
RPI 0.518 (#140) 0.446 (#276)
Shooting & Four Factors YSU RMU
FG% 43.9% 44.2%
3PT% 32.9% 33.1%
REB / G 38.5 35.0
OREB / G 12.0 12.7
AST / TO 1.31 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.9% 50.9%
TOV% 15.3% 20.1%
ORB% 32.9% 35.4%
FT Rate 23.1% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 53.9%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 17.4%
DRB% 71.9% 71.1%
Opp FT Rate 21.5% 27.2%

Game Analysis

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