Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | CIN -125 ISU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +9 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | ISU -2.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -0.7 (-8.3) | 135.9 (-8.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -1.3 (-7.7) | 137.2 (-10.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -1.1 (-7.9) | 137.1 (-10.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -0.6 (-8.4) | 138.4 (-11.4) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | CIN 79 – 70 ISU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | ISU 76 – 56 CIN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ISU 81 – 70 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 29-8 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 16-5 | 18-0 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 61.5 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#26) | 19.4 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#57) | 2.53 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#49) | 2.91 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#52) | 0.605 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 37.8% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 26.0% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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