Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | ISU -425 CIN +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +20 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -7.2 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -7.6 (+12.4) | 137.5 (-5.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -8.1 (+11.9) | 135.8 (-3.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -7.2 (+12.8) | 135.0 (-3.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -7.0 (+13.0) | 137.3 (-5.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | CIN 79 – 70 ISU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ISU 81 – 70 CIN |
| Feb 14, 2024 | ISU 68 – 59 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 19.6 (#10) | 12.4 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#26) | 1.58 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.34 (#28) | 2.03 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#28) | 0.543 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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