Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–7 on winners spread MAE 10.8 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Baylor @ Oregon State -15.9 163.0 7% 88–72 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Cincinnati +14.7 153.9 91% 54–89 ✓
South Carolina State @ Missouri +19.7 155.0 96% 59–82 ✓
Pepperdine @ Indiana State +11.5 161.4 85% 82–90 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Cleveland State +11.7 140.1 86% 70–72 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Queens University +7.3 154.3 75% 84–97 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Notre Dame +10.2 137.3 82% 55–75 ✓
Maine @ South Florida +9.5 127.9 81% 70–59 ✗
Bucknell @ St. Bonaventure +9.9 129.0 82% 61–67 ✓
Hofstra @ High Point -3.2 160.4 38% 97–92 ✓
Alabama State @ Samford +3.6 149.8 63% 67–99 ✓
Alcorn State @ UT Arlington +12.7 156.4 87% 69–82 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Incarnate Word +9.1 145.3 80% 66–67 ✓
South Dakota State @ Southern Miss +4.6 152.5 66% 65–54 ✗
Idaho @ Seattle U +12.8 137.8 88% 55–92 ✓
Duquesne @ Nebraska +10.5 148.3 83% 79–89 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Kansas State +15.3 150.3 92% 56–100 ✓
Stanford @ Arkansas +4.0 168.0 64% 74–77 ✓
Wisconsin @ SMU -3.5 144.4 38% 69–61 ✓
James Madison @ Fresno State -12.1 173.6 14% 95–64 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ San Francisco +6.7 147.1 73% 60–76 ✓
UC Riverside @ Montana State +10.4 124.1 83% 68–69 ✓
Florida @ Pittsburgh +10.5 165.8 83% 86–71 ✗
Rice @ New Mexico +6.3 169.1 72% 56–90 ✓
UTEP @ Bradley +11.0 148.4 84% 59–63 ✓
Toledo @ UC Irvine +3.2 154.6 61% 71–77 ✓
Gonzaga @ UCLA -2.5 125.7 41% 69–65 ✓
California @ Tulane +11.7 158.1 86% 81–84 ✓
Penn State @ Texas A&M +5.7 131.6 70% 77–89 ✓
Texas Tech @ Northern Iowa -5.8 145.9 30% 72–70 ✓
Boston College @ Loyola Chicago -10.1 145.6 18% 68–71 ✗
Villanova @ North Carolina -1.0 146.0 47% 83–81 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Butler +4.6 138.6 66% 91–86 ✗
Oklahoma @ Iowa -0.1 159.7 50% 79–67 ✓
Michigan State @ Arizona +13.5 136.2 89% 68–74 ✓
Colorado State @ Creighton +6.3 163.5 72% 69–48 ✗
Seton Hall @ USC -8.4 140.7 22% 63–71 ✗
Iowa State @ VCU -27.2 135.8 1% 68–64 ✓
Arkansas @ Memphis +4.8 152.1 67% 79–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.