Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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47–20 on winners spread MAE 10.2 67 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Western Carolina @ Florida State +14.9 144.9 87% 57–91 ✓
Lehigh @ Saint Francis +5.7 144.9 73% 78–88 ✓
VMI @ Loyola Maryland +3.8 143.5 71% 67–70 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Fairleigh Dickinson -7.4 142.6 19% 78–76 ✓
Stanford @ Grand Canyon -5.4 141.4 32% 71–78 ✗
Wagner @ Georgetown +9.1 123.9 78% 41–66 ✓
Manhattan @ Virginia +12.3 131.1 87% 65–74 ✓
Coppin State @ Saint Joseph's +21.7 138.9 91% 54–83 ✓
Boise State @ Boston College -6.5 142.4 34% 61–63 ✗
North Dakota State @ Samford +13.9 152.7 86% 98–103 ✓
Alabama @ Houston +3.0 141.4 47% 85–80 ✗
Western Illinois @ South Alabama +12.0 131.4 76% 64–63 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Iowa +23.9 165.6 91% 77–110 ✓
Long Beach State @ UTEP +5.8 132.7 71% 44–70 ✓
Iowa State @ Dayton +0.5 142.7 48% 89–84 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Belmont +8.5 140.7 73% 77–63 ✗
Kansas @ Duke +9.6 143.4 73% 75–72 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ Pepperdine +5.9 132.7 71% 72–63 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Montana State +6.1 139.9 73% 59–85 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Utah +28.4 142.5 91% 48–94 ✓
California Baptist @ SMU +9.1 152.0 81% 77–79 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Northern Arizona +1.7 130.7 54% 72–68 ✗
Grambling @ Cal Poly +6.0 145.9 75% 79–82 ✓
Eastern Washington @ UC Santa Barbara +6.2 143.8 78% 51–67 ✓
Southern Utah @ UCLA +18.7 136.6 88% 43–88 ✓
Notre Dame @ Rutgers +0.1 148.1 50% 84–85 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ San José State -9.1 132.3 23% 64–69 ✗
Auburn @ North Carolina -3.4 169.0 28% 85–72 ✓
Furman @ Seattle U -0.5 134.5 46% 61–56 ✓
Fresno State @ Washington State +13.1 156.5 86% 73–84 ✓
Louisville @ Indiana +0.7 147.7 44% 89–61 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech +6.1 144.3 73% 69–78 ✓
Rhode Island @ Detroit Mercy -12.0 146.1 15% 81–75 ✓
Morgan State @ UMBC +5.0 149.1 72% 69–92 ✓
SE Louisiana @ North Dakota -1.0 138.4 51% 76–60 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Charleston +7.9 138.5 80% 64–79 ✓
UTSA @ Merrimack -1.6 132.9 39% 76–74 ✓
New Orleans @ Baylor +26.8 159.1 91% 60–91 ✓
Bryant @ Chattanooga +2.1 151.9 66% 76–84 ✓
Stony Brook @ Brown +10.1 140.3 81% 54–77 ✓
Western Michigan @ Youngstown State +8.0 141.0 65% 73–62 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Charlotte +2.9 140.2 67% 75–55 ✗
Presbyterian @ Tennessee Tech -2.5 136.6 42% 75–90 ✗
Gonzaga @ West Virginia -10.4 143.9 29% 78–86 ✗
Colorado @ Iowa State +4.9 143.8 70% 71–99 ✓
Tulsa @ Georgia State +1.3 149.2 52% 71–74 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Bethune-Cookman -5.4 141.3 32% 79–64 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee +24.9 132.9 90% 35–78 ✓
NJIT @ Morehead State +9.3 130.9 67% 78–69 ✗
West Georgia @ North Dakota State +5.7 137.8 72% 61–73 ✓
Sam Houston @ App State -5.8 139.2 37% 63–66 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Valparaiso +8.3 139.9 85% 82–87 ✓
Sacramento State @ Air Force +2.5 129.8 46% 63–61 ✗
San Diego State @ Oregon +4.2 139.4 72% 68–78 ✓
Massachusetts @ Harvard +1.0 147.7 50% 62–54 ✗
Canisius @ Robert Morris +14.6 138.5 89% 64–72 ✓
Bucknell @ Maryland +23.2 148.6 90% 67–91 ✓
Memphis @ Auburn +5.5 155.0 73% 76–90 ✓
UT Arlington @ Austin Peay +3.9 137.2 64% 68–58 ✗
Providence @ Oklahoma +4.1 138.5 68% 77–79 ✓
Ball State @ Richmond +6.4 131.1 77% 60–73 ✓
South Carolina @ Virginia Tech -3.3 139.8 41% 70–60 ✓
Tulane @ Belmont +4.1 149.3 66% 66–89 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Western Illinois -0.7 135.9 38% 86–75 ✓
Creighton @ Texas A&M +7.1 143.8 81% 73–77 ✓
Lindenwood @ Missouri +24.9 152.7 91% 61–81 ✓
South Dakota @ Nebraska +17.8 162.5 90% 79–96 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.