Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -42.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +46 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -42.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -40.6 (+5.4) | 140.8 (+1.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -39.1 (+6.9) | 141.2 (+0.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -26.8 (+19.2) | 139.7 (+2.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -28.4 (+17.6) | 142.5 (-0.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 1-17 |
| Home | 15-4 | 2-9 |
| Away | 1-9 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 52.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 82.3 |
| Massey | 14.3 (#23) | -22.4 (#364) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#144) | -1.35 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#131) | -1.99 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#195) | 0.487 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 34.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.9% | 21.0% |
| REB / G | 46.0 | 25.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.71 | 0.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 37.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 28.3% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.5% | 57.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 57.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 37.5% |
Game Analysis
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