Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG -120 ND +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +1 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | ND -3.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -0.1 (+0.9) | 148.1 (+20.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ND -1.1 (+2.1) | 149.2 (+19.8) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ND -0.3 (+1.3) | 149.7 (+19.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ND -0.4 (+1.4) | 150.9 (+18.1) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | ND 68 – 63 RUTG |
| Mar 17, 2022 | ND 89 – 87 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#120) | 6.7 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#123) | 1.37 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#113) | 2.67 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#172) | 0.587 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 51.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.78 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 58.6% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.2% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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