(11)
Rutgers
Scarlet Knights
87
–
89
2OT
FINAL
Neutral
NCAA Tournament
(11)
Notre Dame
Fighting Irish
Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | RUTG -120 ND +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ND +2 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | ND -2.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.4 (+45.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ND -2.1 (+0.1) | 132.8 (+43.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ND -2.8 (+0.8) | 135.6 (+40.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ND -3.0 (+1.0) | 136.5 (+39.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ND -2.8 (+0.8) | 135.0 (+41.0) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | ND 68 – 63 RUTG |
| Nov 27, 2024 | RUTG 85 – 84 ND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#80) | 9.3 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#58) | 1.80 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#50) | 2.14 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#113) | 0.579 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 15.9% |
Game Analysis
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