Betting Lines
| Spread | ND -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | ND -340 RUTG N/A |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ND +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | ND -10.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ND -7.1 (-2.1) | 138.1 (-7.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ND -7.8 (-2.8) | 138.8 (-7.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ND -7.4 (-2.4) | 140.2 (-9.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ND -7.6 (-2.6) | 138.7 (-7.7) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2024 | RUTG 85 – 84 ND |
| Mar 17, 2022 | ND 89 – 87 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ND | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-7 | 10-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#91) | -4.2 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#147) | -0.56 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#139) | -1.18 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#183) | 0.429 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ND | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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