Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | WSU -1000 FRES +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +11 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -9.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -8.8 (+2.2) | 154.9 (+2.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -8.3 (+2.7) | 151.7 (+5.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -9.1 (+1.9) | 149.4 (+7.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -13.1 (-2.1) | 156.5 (+0.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 2-18 |
| Home | 10-4 | 5-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 80.7 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#69) | -1.7 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#43) | -0.88 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.79 (#30) | -1.83 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#50) | 0.405 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 37.8% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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