He took it all too far, but boy could he play guitar. "Ziggy Stardust" - David Bowie
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–10 on winners spread MAE 9.4 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Alabama State @ Cincinnati +25.3 146.8 91% 59–77 ✓
South Carolina State @ Marshall +4.9 139.1 73% 53–82 ✓
Colgate @ UNC Wilmington +8.0 137.8 71% 72–59 ✗
Milwaukee @ UCF +10.0 151.2 82% 76–84 ✓
Cornell @ Syracuse +6.7 158.6 74% 72–82 ✓
Rider @ Villanova +11.9 134.7 82% 48–72 ✓
UTEP @ UNC Greensboro +0.8 132.3 59% 64–58 ✗
Utah Valley @ Samford +4.7 153.9 75% 76–84 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Georgia Tech +11.5 147.8 86% 67–91 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Little Rock +17.1 137.8 89% 59–78 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Saint Louis +4.3 159.0 72% 90–93 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Houston Christian -1.0 135.9 37% 74–71 ✓
Arizona @ Davidson -3.3 152.1 33% 104–71 ✓
Xavier @ Michigan +2.4 140.3 55% 53–78 ✓
Wyoming @ Loyola Marymount +0.3 137.5 58% 70–73 ✓
Stonehill @ Marquette +26.0 143.2 91% 59–94 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Montana -6.3 149.4 36% 75–83 ✗
Michigan State @ North Carolina +4.8 158.2 55% 94–91 ✗
SMU @ Washington State +1.0 153.1 58% 77–60 ✗
Alabama @ Rutgers -9.4 168.5 19% 95–90 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Pacific +14.0 151.7 89% 71–83 ✓
San José State @ Long Beach State -3.5 129.5 22% 82–66 ✓
Mercyhurst @ California +15.0 137.4 87% 55–81 ✓
UConn @ Dayton -0.5 144.6 51% 67–85 ✗
California Baptist @ Fresno State -1.1 145.1 43% 86–81 ✓
Houston @ Notre Dame -11.1 136.9 16% 65–54 ✓
West Virginia @ Louisville +2.4 150.1 72% 70–79 ✓
Minnesota @ Wichita State +5.4 135.2 71% 66–68 ✓
UT Arlington @ Rhode Island +8.0 154.6 83% 78–83 ✓
Gonzaga @ Indiana -9.0 147.5 23% 89–73 ✓
Florida @ Wake Forest -9.1 143.1 24% 75–58 ✓
NC State @ Purdue +5.4 143.0 78% 61–71 ✓
Utah Valley @ North Dakota State -2.5 146.0 42% 63–83 ✗
Illinois @ Arkansas -3.5 156.1 28% 90–77 ✓
Santa Clara @ TCU +5.6 141.5 69% 69–52 ✗
Arizona @ Oklahoma +0.6 150.4 53% 77–82 ✓
BYU @ Ole Miss -1.2 142.9 55% 85–96 ✗
Utah State @ St. Bonaventure -3.9 144.5 30% 72–67 ✓
Washington @ Colorado State +0.4 143.3 59% 73–67 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.