Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | WSU +155 SMU -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMU +17 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | SMU -0.1 (-16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.5 (-30.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMU -0.2 (-16.8) | 157.5 (-20.5) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -0.3 (-17.3) | 155.4 (-18.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -0.1 (-17.1) | 155.9 (-18.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -1.0 (-18.0) | 153.1 (-16.1) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 20, 2022 | WSU 75 – 63 SMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#66) | 7.6 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#45) | 0.28 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.61 (#39) | 0.38 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.607 (#46) | 0.509 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 38.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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