Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SMU -160 WSU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +12 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | SMU -2.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMU -3.1 (-15.1) | 139.7 (-1.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -4.0 (-16.0) | 137.8 (+0.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -2.9 (-14.9) | 137.9 (+0.1) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMU -3.4 (-15.4) | 140.0 (-2.0) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2024 | SMU 77 – 60 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 13-4 | 11-9 |
| Home | 17-1 | 13-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#53) | 10.3 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#54) | 1.24 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#56) | 1.81 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#50) | 0.557 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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