Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | PAC -2200 UAPB +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +12 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | PAC -21.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -17.6 (-5.6) | 147.5 (+6.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -16.9 (-4.9) | 150.2 (+3.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -15.0 (-3.0) | 151.8 (+2.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -14.0 (-2.0) | 151.7 (+2.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2021 | PAC 74 – 50 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 3-15 |
| Home | 5-10 | 4-8 |
| Away | 2-13 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 85.7 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#253) | -19.7 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#273) | -2.16 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#261) | -3.36 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#239) | 0.405 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 60.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 12.5% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 56.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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