Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -19.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +24 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | PAC -11.6 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -8.9 (+15.1) | 142.7 (-18.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -8.4 (+15.6) | 143.2 (-19.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -8.2 (+15.8) | 141.9 (-17.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -11.7 (+12.3) | 140.8 (-16.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2024 | PAC 83 – 71 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-7 |
| Away | 0-13 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#225) | -7.3 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#307) | -1.54 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#280) | -2.46 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.320 (#351) | 0.468 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 36.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 27.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 61.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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