North Dakota State
Bison
83
–
63
FINAL
Neutral
Samford Thanksgiving Invitational
Utah Valley
Wolverines
Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU +210 UVU -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +20 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -6.6 (+26.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -2.9 (+22.9) | 149.0 (-3.0) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -3.8 (+23.8) | 150.1 (-4.1) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -2.8 (+22.8) | 147.7 (-1.7) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -2.5 (+22.5) | 146.0 (+0.0) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 15-1 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-0 |
| Away | 8-6 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.7 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#199) | 4.8 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#271) | 1.46 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#257) | 0.73 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#329) | 0.533 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 36.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.3% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 78.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 34.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.